predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Alexandr Romanov
18-3 · Southpaw
vs
Chase Sherman
16-12 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Alexandr Romanov def.
SUB · R1 2:11
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
78"
35
Age
36
3.78
SLpM
6.04
51%
Str. Acc.
45%
2.13
SApM
6.65
54%
Str. Def.
52%
4.49
TD Avg.
0.09
28%
TD Def.
74%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Alexandr Romanov
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Chase Sherman
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Alexandr Romanov
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Alexandr Romanov finishes 40% · finished 20% (10 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 86% (6-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (6-2)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)
Chase Sherman finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 17% (1-5)
In the small (APEX) cage 17% (1-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.