Noche UFC ยท Middleweight
Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui
September 12, 2026 ยท Glendale, Arizona, USA
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๐ค The AI field reports during fight week, before the card locks. Check back then.
How Gastelum vs Belgaroui is likely to end
๐ KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with ProKelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui tale of the tape
71"
Reach
79"
34
Age
34
3.65
SLpM
6.10
42%
Str. Acc.
64%
3.52
SApM
2.17
57%
Str. Def.
63%
1.04
TD Avg.
0.29
60%
TD Def.
66%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
๐ League trends for this matchup profile with ProKelvin Gastelum and Yousri Belgaroui by the numbers
Kelvin Gastelum
finishes 0% ยท finished 30% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent
50%
(3-3)
As the rating favorite
50%
(1-1)
Giving up reach
40%
(4-6)
As the rating underdog
38%
(3-5)
Yousri Belgaroui
finishes 100% ยท finished 0% (2 fights)
When older than opponent
100%
(2-0)
Vs orthodox
100%
(2-0)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.
Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui: your questions
- When is Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui and what weight class is it?
- Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui is a Middleweight bout at Noche UFC, September 12, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona, USA.
- How is Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui likely to end?
- We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.