predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Andrei Arlovski
34-24 (2 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Jake Collier
13-10 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Andrei Arlovski def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
78"
47
Age
37
3.82
SLpM
5.80
45%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.22
SApM
5.08
57%
Str. Def.
50%
0.37
TD Avg.
0.71
76%
TD Def.
67%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Jake Collier
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Jake Collier
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Andrei Arlovski
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Andrei Arlovski finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 50% (5-5)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)
Jake Collier finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 40% (2-3)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 25% (2-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.