predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mike Rodriguez
11-7 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Marcin Prachnio
17-9 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Mike Rodriguez def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:17
Tale of the Tape
82"
Reach
73"
37
Age
37
4.35
SLpM
5.52
53%
Str. Acc.
54%
4.24
SApM
3.15
41%
Str. Def.
54%
0.00
TD Avg.
0.14
37%
TD Def.
53%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Mike Rodriguez
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Mike Rodriguez
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Marcin Prachnio
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mike Rodriguez finishes 25% · finished 50% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)
With a reach advantage 25% (1-3)
Marcin Prachnio finishes 11% · finished 44% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.