predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Rafa Garcia
19-4 · Orthodox
vs
Jesse Ronson
21-12 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Rafa Garcia def.
SUB · R2 4:50
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
70"
31
Age
40
4.28
SLpM
3.54
44%
Str. Acc.
47%
4.42
SApM
3.39
61%
Str. Def.
57%
3.22
TD Avg.
0.46
77%
TD Def.
57%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Rafa Garcia
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Rafa Garcia
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Rafa Garcia finishes 18% · finished 9% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
Jesse Ronson finishes 0% · finished 100% (2 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating favorite 0% (0-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.