predicted sports
← UFC 273
Aleksei Oleinik
60-17-1 · Orthodox
vs
Jared Vanderaa
12-10 · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Aleksei Oleinik def.
SUB · R1 3:39
Tale of the Tape
80"
Reach
80"
49
Age
34
3.29
SLpM
4.96
48%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.80
SApM
5.67
44%
Str. Def.
45%
1.82
TD Avg.
0.18
37%
TD Def.
20%
1.90
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Jared Vanderaa
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Aleksei Oleinik
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Aleksei Oleinik finishes 20% · finished 40% (5 fights)
When older than opponent 20% (1-4)
As the rating underdog 20% (1-4)
Vs orthodox 20% (1-4)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-4)
Jared Vanderaa finishes 0% · finished 57% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 20% (1-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 20% (1-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.