predicted sports
← UFC 252
Kai Kamaka III
18-7-1 · Orthodox
vs
Tony Kelley
8-3 · Switch
Featherweight
Result
Kai Kamaka III def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
70"
31
Age
39
5.40
SLpM
5.55
59%
Str. Acc.
47%
5.67
SApM
4.85
56%
Str. Def.
45%
1.51
TD Avg.
0.00
55%
TD Def.
52%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
1.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Kai Kamaka III
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Tony Kelley
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Tony Kelley
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Kai Kamaka III finishes 0% · finished 25% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Giving up reach 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)
Tony Kelley finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.