predicted sports
← UFC 273
Mackenzie Dern
16-5 · Orthodox
vs
Tecia Pennington
15-8 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
Result
Mackenzie Dern def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
63"
Reach
60"
33
Age
36
3.47
SLpM
4.73
41%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.93
SApM
3.48
51%
Str. Def.
61%
0.93
TD Avg.
0.56
37%
TD Def.
62%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
By the Numbers
Mackenzie Dern finishes 25% · finished 8% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 73% (8-3)
Giving up reach 71% (5-2)
Tecia Pennington finishes 14% · finished 0% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)
Giving up reach 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.