predicted sports
← UFC 273
Khamzat Chimaev
15-1 · Orthodox
vs
Gilbert Burns
22-10 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Khamzat Chimaev def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
71"
32
Age
39
4.01
SLpM
3.16
54%
Str. Acc.
48%
2.98
SApM
3.68
52%
Str. Def.
52%
5.32
TD Avg.
2.04
87%
TD Def.
53%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Khamzat Chimaev
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Khamzat Chimaev finishes 60% · finished 0% (10 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 89% (8-1)
Gilbert Burns finishes 10% · finished 40% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 38% (3-5)
Giving up reach 30% (3-7)
As the rating underdog 22% (2-7)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.