predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Matheus Nicolau
19-6-1 · Orthodox
vs
David Dvorak
20-6 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Matheus Nicolau def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
68"
33
Age
34
3.31
SLpM
3.48
51%
Str. Acc.
43%
2.98
SApM
3.29
65%
Str. Def.
59%
1.22
TD Avg.
0.58
90%
TD Def.
70%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Matheus Nicolau
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge David Dvorak
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Matheus Nicolau
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Matheus Nicolau finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
David Dvorak finishes 20% · finished 0% (5 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.