predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Paul Craig
17-10-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Nikita Krylov
31-11 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Result
Paul Craig def.
SUB · R1 3:57
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
77"
38
Age
34
2.50
SLpM
4.36
45%
Str. Acc.
54%
3.04
SApM
2.59
43%
Str. Def.
47%
1.43
TD Avg.
2.05
35%
TD Def.
53%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Nikita Krylov
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Nikita Krylov
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Nikita Krylov
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Paul Craig finishes 45% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
Vs southpaws 50% (2-2)
Nikita Krylov finishes 38% · finished 38% (8 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (3-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.