← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
Result
Ilia Topuria def.
KO/TKO · R2 1:07
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
77"
29
Age
38
4.82
SLpM
3.19
50%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.97
SApM
3.34
62%
Str. Def.
52%
1.73
TD Avg.
0.42
95%
TD Def.
66%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Ilia Topuria
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jai Herbert
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Ilia Topuria
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Ilia Topuria
finishes 70% · finished 10% (10 fights)
Vs southpaws
100%
(2-0)
When younger than opponent
90%
(9-1)
As the rating favorite
89%
(8-1)
Giving up reach
89%
(8-1)
Jai Herbert
finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite
100%
(3-0)
When younger than opponent
50%
(1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
50%
(1-1)
With a reach advantage
44%
(4-5)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.