← UFC Fight Night
Welterweight
· APEX cage
Result
Matthew Semelsberger def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
67"
33
Age
29
3.77
SLpM
3.36
42%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.24
SApM
4.61
54%
Str. Def.
46%
1.01
TD Avg.
1.54
45%
TD Def.
33%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.90
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge AJ Fletcher
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Matthew Semelsberger
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge AJ Fletcher
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Matthew Semelsberger
finishes 18% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When older than opponent
50%
(3-3)
As the rating favorite
50%
(3-3)
Vs orthodox
50%
(4-4)
In the small (APEX) cage
50%
(4-4)
AJ Fletcher
finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog
33%
(1-2)
Vs orthodox
33%
(1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage
33%
(1-2)
When younger than opponent
25%
(1-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.