predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Magomed Ankalaev
21-2-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Thiago Santos
22-11 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Magomed Ankalaev def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
76"
34
Age
42
3.65
SLpM
3.72
52%
Str. Acc.
48%
2.59
SApM
2.57
56%
Str. Def.
53%
0.79
TD Avg.
0.88
87%
TD Def.
65%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Magomed Ankalaev
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Thiago Santos
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Magomed Ankalaev
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Magomed Ankalaev finishes 33% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)
Thiago Santos finishes 0% · finished 40% (5 fights)
Giving up reach 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)
In 5-round fights 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.