predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Terrance McKinney
18-8 · Switch
vs
Fares Ziam
18-5 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Terrance McKinney def.
SUB · R1 2:11
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
75"
31
Age
29
6.53
SLpM
2.68
55%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.45
SApM
1.58
43%
Str. Def.
63%
3.31
TD Avg.
1.86
72%
TD Def.
70%
2.10
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Fares Ziam
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Fares Ziam
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Fares Ziam
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Terrance McKinney finishes 62% · finished 38% (13 fights)
Giving up reach 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
Fares Ziam finishes 20% · finished 10% (10 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (5-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (6-0)
When younger than opponent 89% (8-1)
With a reach advantage 78% (7-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.