predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Islam Makhachev
28-1 · Southpaw
vs
King Green
35-17-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Catch Weight · APEX cage
Result
Islam Makhachev def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:23
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
71"
34
Age
39
2.45
SLpM
6.46
58%
Str. Acc.
53%
1.45
SApM
3.55
61%
Str. Def.
62%
3.10
TD Avg.
1.33
91%
TD Def.
72%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Islam Makhachev
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge King Green
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Islam Makhachev
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Islam Makhachev finishes 80% · finished 0% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (8-0)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (7-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
King Green finishes 29% · finished 29% (17 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 88% (7-1)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.