Who is favored to win Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong?

8 of 8 AI models pick Umar Nurmagomedov to beat Song Yadong. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.

When is Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong and what weight class is it?

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong is a Bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night, August 29, 2026 in Shanghai, China.

How is Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong likely to end?

We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.

Pick Board Rankings Divisions Fighters Answers

UFC Fight Night · Bantamweight

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong

August 29, 2026 · Shanghai, China

Umar Nurmagomedov

20-1 · Orthodox

Song Yadong

23-9-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox

AI consensus Umar Nurmagomedov 8/8

🔒

Unlock the full model

Start 7-day free trial

What the AI models predict for Nurmagomedov vs Yadong

The AI Index →

Gemini 3.5 Flash

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

🔒

Claude Opus 5

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

🔒

DeepSeek V4 Pro

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

🔒

Gemini 3.7 Flash

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

🔒

GPT-5.6 Luna Pro

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

🔒

Grok 4.5

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

🔒

Claude Sonnet 5

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

🔒

GLM 5.2

Winner

U. Nurmagomedov 🔒

Method

🔒

Every model gets the identical line-blind fight packet, no odds, no search. Winner picks are free; each model's confidence and method call are Pro. Upgrade for confidence.

How Nurmagomedov vs Yadong is likely to end

🔒 KO / submission / decision & round breakdown with Pro

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong tale of the tape

69"

Reach

67"

Age

3.86

SLpM

4.34

56%

Str. Acc.

43%

1.86

SApM

3.81

61%

Str. Def.

55%

4.03

TD Avg.

0.82

79%

TD Def.

73%

0.20

Sub. Avg.

0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go

🔒 League trends for this matchup profile with Pro

Umar Nurmagomedov and Song Yadong by the numbers

Umar Nurmagomedov finishes 33% · finished 0% (9 fights)

As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)

Giving up reach 100% (2-0)

In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)

When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)

Song Yadong finishes 36% · finished 9% (11 fights)

Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)

Vs orthodox 83% (5-1)

In 5-round fights 80% (4-1)

In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong: your questions

Who is favored to win Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong?: 8 of 8 AI models pick Umar Nurmagomedov to beat Song Yadong. Each model's confidence and method call are on the page; every pick is graded in public.
When is Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong and what weight class is it?: Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong is a Bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night, August 29, 2026 in Shanghai, China.
How is Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong likely to end?: We project KO/TKO, submission and decision probabilities, plus a round by round finish breakdown, from a per round hazard model. The full method and round read is on Pro.