predicted sports
← UFC 271
Renato Moicano
21-7-1 · Orthodox
vs
Alexander Hernandez
18-9 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Renato Moicano def.
SUB · R2 1:23
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
72"
37
Age
33
4.10
SLpM
4.23
49%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.55
SApM
4.45
59%
Str. Def.
59%
1.68
TD Avg.
1.05
64%
TD Def.
68%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Alexander Hernandez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Renato Moicano
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Renato Moicano finishes 55% · finished 18% (11 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When older than opponent 71% (5-2)
Alexander Hernandez finishes 31% · finished 15% (13 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (6-4)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.