predicted sports
← UFC 271
Tai Tuivasa
15-10 · Southpaw
vs
Derrick Lewis
29-14 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Tai Tuivasa def.
KO/TKO · R2 1:40
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
79"
33
Age
41
3.37
SLpM
2.41
48%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.61
SApM
2.79
42%
Str. Def.
38%
0.00
TD Avg.
0.53
58%
TD Def.
51%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Tai Tuivasa
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Derrick Lewis
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Derrick Lewis
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Tai Tuivasa finishes 42% · finished 33% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (5-5)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 45% (5-6)
Derrick Lewis finishes 46% · finished 46% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
In 5-round fights 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.