predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Julian Erosa
31-14 · Southpaw
vs
Steven Peterson
19-11 · Orthodox
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Julian Erosa def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
70"
36
Age
36
6.18
SLpM
4.76
48%
Str. Acc.
40%
6.31
SApM
5.94
48%
Str. Def.
53%
1.73
TD Avg.
1.42
61%
TD Def.
64%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Steven Peterson
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Julian Erosa
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Julian Erosa
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Julian Erosa finishes 46% · finished 31% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 70% (7-3)
With a reach advantage 70% (7-3)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Steven Peterson finishes 0% · finished 0% (3 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 33% (1-2)
As the rating favorite 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.