predicted sports
← UFC 270
Matt Frevola
11-6-1 · Orthodox
vs
Genaro Valdez
10-3 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Matt Frevola def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:15
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
72"
36
Age
34
3.30
SLpM
4.08
39%
Str. Acc.
30%
3.76
SApM
7.16
56%
Str. Def.
48%
2.34
TD Avg.
1.54
40%
TD Def.
36%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Genaro Valdez
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Genaro Valdez
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Matt Frevola
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Matt Frevola finishes 38% · finished 38% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
Genaro Valdez finishes 0% · finished 33% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.