predicted sports
← UFC 270
Francis Ngannou
17-3 · Orthodox
vs
Ciryl Gane
14-2 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight · Title
Result
Francis Ngannou def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
83"
Reach
81"
39
Age
36
2.33
SLpM
5.40
41%
Str. Acc.
61%
2.16
SApM
2.31
41%
Str. Def.
60%
0.76
TD Avg.
0.66
71%
TD Def.
47%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Ciryl Gane
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Francis Ngannou
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Ciryl Gane
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Francis Ngannou finishes 50% · finished 0% (2 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In title fights 100% (2-0)
Ciryl Gane finishes 50% · finished 10% (10 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (6-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (8-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.