predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
TJ Brown
17-11 · Switch
vs
Charles Rosa
14-8 · Switch
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
TJ Brown def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
69"
36
Age
39
3.37
SLpM
3.08
44%
Str. Acc.
36%
2.89
SApM
3.86
49%
Str. Def.
47%
3.41
TD Avg.
1.67
36%
TD Def.
38%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge TJ Brown
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge TJ Brown
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge TJ Brown
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
TJ Brown finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (3-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)
Charles Rosa finishes 0% · finished 0% (5 fights)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 25% (1-3)
When older than opponent 20% (1-4)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.