predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jake Collier
13-10 · Orthodox
vs
Chase Sherman
16-12 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Jake Collier def.
SUB · R1 2:26
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
78"
37
Age
36
5.80
SLpM
6.04
44%
Str. Acc.
45%
5.08
SApM
6.65
50%
Str. Def.
52%
0.71
TD Avg.
0.09
67%
TD Def.
74%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Chase Sherman
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Jake Collier
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jake Collier finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 40% (2-3)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 25% (2-6)
Chase Sherman finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Giving up reach 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 17% (1-5)
In the small (APEX) cage 17% (1-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.