predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jordan Leavitt
13-4 · Southpaw
vs
Matt Sayles
8-4 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Jordan Leavitt def.
SUB · R2 2:05
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
68"
31
Age
32
2.18
SLpM
4.83
58%
Str. Acc.
41%
1.57
SApM
2.81
59%
Str. Def.
61%
2.97
TD Avg.
0.36
30%
TD Def.
81%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jordan Leavitt
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jordan Leavitt
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jordan Leavitt
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jordan Leavitt finishes 40% · finished 30% (10 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (5-0)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.