predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Raquel Pennington
16-10 · Orthodox
vs
Macy Chiasson
11-6 · Orthodox
Women's Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Raquel Pennington def.
SUB · R2 3:07
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
72"
37
Age
34
4.10
SLpM
3.21
49%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.32
SApM
2.76
61%
Str. Def.
44%
0.83
TD Avg.
1.87
62%
TD Def.
62%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge Macy Chiasson
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Macy Chiasson
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge Raquel Pennington
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Raquel Pennington finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When older than opponent 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 83% (5-1)
Macy Chiasson finishes 22% · finished 22% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 57% (4-3)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.