predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Gavin Tucker
13-3 · Southpaw
vs
Justin Jaynes
16-8 · Orthodox
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Gavin Tucker def.
SUB · R3 1:43
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
68"
40
Age
36
4.29
SLpM
3.34
44%
Str. Acc.
44%
4.18
SApM
5.33
57%
Str. Def.
62%
3.13
TD Avg.
0.75
53%
TD Def.
20%
1.50
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Justin Jaynes
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Justin Jaynes
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Gavin Tucker
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Gavin Tucker finishes 25% · finished 50% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
Giving up reach 50% (2-2)
Justin Jaynes finishes 0% · finished 75% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-3)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-4)
Vs southpaws 0% (0-2)
Giving up reach 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.