predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Gerald Meerschaert
37-22 · Southpaw
vs
Dustin Stoltzfus
16-8 · Orthodox
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Gerald Meerschaert def.
SUB · R3 2:58
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
75"
38
Age
34
2.95
SLpM
3.30
45%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.44
SApM
3.23
53%
Str. Def.
47%
1.70
TD Avg.
2.08
40%
TD Def.
46%
1.50
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Dustin Stoltzfus
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Gerald Meerschaert
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Dustin Stoltzfus
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Gerald Meerschaert finishes 40% · finished 33% (15 fights)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 56% (5-4)
As the rating favorite 50% (4-4)
With a reach advantage 46% (6-7)
Dustin Stoltzfus finishes 20% · finished 40% (10 fights)
With a reach advantage 40% (2-3)
When younger than opponent 33% (2-4)
As the rating underdog 33% (3-6)
When older than opponent 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.