predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Cub Swanson
31-14 · Orthodox
vs
Darren Elkins
29-12 · Orthodox
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Cub Swanson def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:12
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
71"
42
Age
42
4.84
SLpM
3.40
51%
Str. Acc.
38%
3.99
SApM
3.34
59%
Str. Def.
51%
1.00
TD Avg.
2.87
63%
TD Def.
56%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Darren Elkins
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Darren Elkins
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Cub Swanson
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Cub Swanson finishes 50% · finished 25% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 63% (5-3)
As the rating favorite 60% (3-2)
Darren Elkins finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.