predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Derrick Lewis
29-14 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Chris Daukaus
12-7 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Derrick Lewis def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:36
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
76"
41
Age
36
2.41
SLpM
6.05
48%
Str. Acc.
50%
2.79
SApM
4.64
38%
Str. Def.
55%
0.53
TD Avg.
0.00
51%
TD Def.
100%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Chris Daukaus
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Derrick Lewis
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Derrick Lewis
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Derrick Lewis finishes 46% · finished 46% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
In 5-round fights 63% (5-3)
Chris Daukaus finishes 50% · finished 50% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.