predicted sports
← UFC 269
Tony Kelley
8-3 · Switch
vs
Randy Costa
6-4 · Switch
Bantamweight
Result
Tony Kelley def.
KO/TKO · R2 4:15
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
73"
39
Age
31
5.55
SLpM
6.53
47%
Str. Acc.
46%
4.85
SApM
7.58
45%
Str. Def.
58%
0.00
TD Avg.
0.00
52%
TD Def.
50%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Randy Costa
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Randy Costa
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Tony Kelley
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
By the Numbers
Tony Kelley finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
Randy Costa finishes 25% · finished 75% (4 fights)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.