predicted sports
← UFC 269
Tai Tuivasa
15-10 · Southpaw
vs
Augusto Sakai
16-5-1 · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Tai Tuivasa def.
KO/TKO · R2 0:26
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
77"
33
Age
35
3.37
SLpM
4.60
48%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.61
SApM
3.83
42%
Str. Def.
48%
0.00
TD Avg.
0.23
58%
TD Def.
56%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Tai Tuivasa
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Augusto Sakai
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Tai Tuivasa
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Tai Tuivasa finishes 42% · finished 33% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (5-5)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 45% (5-6)
Augusto Sakai finishes 0% · finished 80% (5 fights)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 25% (1-3)
Giving up reach 25% (1-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.