predicted sports
← UFC 269
Sean O'Malley
20-3 (1 NC) · Switch
vs
Raulian Paiva
21-5 · Orthodox
Bantamweight
Result
Sean O'Malley def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:42
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
69"
31
Age
30
5.98
SLpM
4.14
60%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.40
SApM
5.01
59%
Str. Def.
48%
0.23
TD Avg.
0.65
60%
TD Def.
77%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Raulian Paiva
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Sean O'Malley
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Sean O'Malley
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
By the Numbers
Sean O'Malley finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 73% (8-3)
Raulian Paiva finishes 0% · finished 25% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.