predicted sports
← UFC 269
Kai Kara-France
25-12 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Cody Garbrandt
15-7 · Orthodox
Flyweight
Result
Kai Kara-France def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:21
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
65"
33
Age
34
4.46
SLpM
2.79
40%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.24
SApM
3.66
64%
Str. Def.
58%
0.56
TD Avg.
0.85
83%
TD Def.
81%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Kai Kara-France
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Kai Kara-France
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Kai Kara-France
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
By the Numbers
Kai Kara-France finishes 38% · finished 38% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)
With a reach advantage 57% (4-3)
Cody Garbrandt finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 43% (3-4)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)
As the rating underdog 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.