← UFC 269
Welterweight
Result
Geoff Neal def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
73"
35
Age
39
5.02
SLpM
4.78
50%
Str. Acc.
41%
5.50
SApM
4.68
57%
Str. Def.
61%
0.54
TD Avg.
0.60
87%
TD Def.
71%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Geoff Neal
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Geoff Neal
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Geoff Neal
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Geoff Neal
finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent
50%
(2-2)
Vs southpaws
50%
(1-1)
With a reach advantage
50%
(2-2)
As the rating underdog
33%
(3-6)
Santiago Ponzinibbio
finishes 22% · finished 33% (9 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage
67%
(2-1)
Vs orthodox
43%
(3-4)
Giving up reach
40%
(2-3)
When older than opponent
38%
(3-5)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.