predicted sports
← UFC 269
Charles Oliveira
37-11 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Dustin Poirier
30-10 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Lightweight · Title
Result
Charles Oliveira def.
SUB · R3 1:02
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
72"
36
Age
37
3.23
SLpM
5.24
55%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.05
SApM
4.57
48%
Str. Def.
52%
2.29
TD Avg.
1.15
54%
TD Def.
64%
2.60
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Charles Oliveira
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Charles Oliveira
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Charles Oliveira
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Charles Oliveira finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (6-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
Dustin Poirier finishes 44% · finished 33% (9 fights)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.