predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Vince Morales
16-11 · Orthodox
vs
Louis Smolka
17-9 · Orthodox
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Vince Morales def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:02
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
68"
35
Age
34
3.54
SLpM
4.67
37%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.91
SApM
4.11
54%
Str. Def.
53%
0.71
TD Avg.
1.69
63%
TD Def.
32%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
1.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Louis Smolka
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Vince Morales
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Vince Morales
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Vince Morales finishes 13% · finished 0% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)
With a reach advantage 40% (2-3)
As the rating favorite 33% (1-2)
When older than opponent 25% (2-6)
Louis Smolka finishes 33% · finished 67% (3 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Giving up reach 33% (1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.