predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Kevin Holland
29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Joaquin Buckley
21-8 · Southpaw
Middleweight · APEX cage
Result
Kevin Holland def.
KO/TKO · R3 0:32
Tale of the Tape
81"
Reach
76"
33
Age
32
4.24
SLpM
3.62
49%
Str. Acc.
36%
3.21
SApM
3.10
50%
Str. Def.
58%
0.79
TD Avg.
1.43
57%
TD Def.
70%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Joaquin Buckley
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Kevin Holland
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Joaquin Buckley
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)
As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)
With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)
Joaquin Buckley finishes 47% · finished 18% (17 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 70% (7-3)
With a reach advantage 69% (9-4)
When younger than opponent 69% (11-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.