← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Clay Guida def.
SUB · R2 1:21
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
75"
44
Age
46
2.63
SLpM
2.82
33%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.00
SApM
3.40
61%
Str. Def.
54%
3.10
TD Avg.
0.88
66%
TD Def.
86%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.20
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Clay Guida
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Leonardo Santos
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Clay Guida
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Clay Guida
finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite
50%
(2-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
With a reach advantage
50%
(1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage
50%
(2-2)
Leonardo Santos
finishes 0% · finished 50% (4 fights)
Vs orthodox
33%
(1-2)
When older than opponent
25%
(1-3)
As the rating underdog
25%
(1-3)
With a reach advantage
25%
(1-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.