predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Pat Sabatini
22-5 · Orthodox
vs
Tucker Lutz
12-4 · Orthodox
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Pat Sabatini def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
72"
35
Age
31
1.69
SLpM
3.74
54%
Str. Acc.
46%
1.16
SApM
3.25
54%
Str. Def.
44%
4.27
TD Avg.
1.99
50%
TD Def.
69%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Tucker Lutz
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Tucker Lutz
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Pat Sabatini
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Pat Sabatini finishes 27% · finished 18% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (5-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (3-0)
When older than opponent 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)
Tucker Lutz finishes 0% · finished 25% (4 fights)
As the rating underdog 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
When younger than opponent 25% (1-3)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.