predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Sean Brady
19-2 · Orthodox
vs
Michael Chiesa
20-7 · Southpaw
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Sean Brady def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
75"
33
Age
38
4.08
SLpM
2.02
53%
Str. Acc.
40%
2.77
SApM
1.73
59%
Str. Def.
57%
3.58
TD Avg.
3.11
86%
TD Def.
65%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
1.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Sean Brady
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Michael Chiesa
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Sean Brady
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Sean Brady finishes 44% · finished 22% (9 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (5-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
Michael Chiesa finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.