← UFC Fight Night
Lightweight
· APEX cage
Result
Rafael Alves def.
SUB · R1 1:48
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
73"
35
Age
33
1.85
SLpM
2.54
48%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.30
SApM
2.64
58%
Str. Def.
52%
0.29
TD Avg.
3.29
44%
TD Def.
66%
1.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Marc Diakiese
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Marc Diakiese
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Marc Diakiese
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Rafael Alves
finishes 25% · finished 25% (4 fights)
When older than opponent
33%
(1-2)
Vs orthodox
33%
(1-2)
In the small (APEX) cage
33%
(1-2)
As the rating underdog
25%
(1-3)
Marc Diakiese
finishes 0% · finished 29% (7 fights)
Vs orthodox
60%
(3-2)
As the rating underdog
50%
(3-3)
With a reach advantage
50%
(2-2)
When younger than opponent
33%
(2-4)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.