predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
22-10-1 · Orthodox
vs
Ben Rothwell
39-14 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Marcos Rogerio de Lima def.
KO/TKO · R1 0:32
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
78"
41
Age
44
3.70
SLpM
3.71
57%
Str. Acc.
42%
2.90
SApM
4.63
51%
Str. Def.
47%
1.40
TD Avg.
0.68
59%
TD Def.
70%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Marcos Rogerio de Lima
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Ben Rothwell
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Marcos Rogerio de Lima
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Marcos Rogerio de Lima finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 83% (5-1)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)
Ben Rothwell finishes 33% · finished 33% (3 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
When older than opponent 33% (1-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.