predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Max Holloway
27-9 · Orthodox
vs
Yair Rodriguez
21-6 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Max Holloway def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
71"
34
Age
33
6.91
SLpM
4.65
48%
Str. Acc.
46%
4.61
SApM
3.78
58%
Str. Def.
52%
0.23
TD Avg.
0.71
81%
TD Def.
59%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Yair Rodriguez
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Yair Rodriguez
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Max Holloway
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Max Holloway finishes 20% · finished 10% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (4-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)
Yair Rodriguez finishes 33% · finished 33% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.