predicted sports
← UFC 268
Ian Machado Garry
17-1 · Orthodox
vs
Jordan Williams
9-6 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Welterweight
Result
Ian Machado Garry def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:59
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
75"
28
Age
35
4.78
SLpM
5.83
54%
Str. Acc.
50%
2.86
SApM
5.46
52%
Str. Def.
35%
0.92
TD Avg.
1.11
80%
TD Def.
85%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Ian Machado Garry
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Jordan Williams
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Ian Machado Garry
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Ian Machado Garry finishes 27% · finished 0% (11 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (8-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (4-0)
When younger than opponent 91% (10-1)
Jordan Williams finishes 0% · finished 67% (3 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-3)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.