predicted sports
← UFC 268
Chris Curtis
32-13 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Phil Hawes
12-6 · Orthodox
Middleweight
Result
Chris Curtis def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:27
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
77"
38
Age
37
5.52
SLpM
5.33
50%
Str. Acc.
59%
5.75
SApM
3.72
54%
Str. Def.
55%
0.00
TD Avg.
2.11
64%
TD Def.
90%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Phil Hawes
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Phil Hawes
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Chris Curtis
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Chris Curtis finishes 27% · finished 9% (11 fights)
Giving up reach 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 63% (5-3)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)
When older than opponent 50% (5-5)
Phil Hawes finishes 25% · finished 50% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 67% (4-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.