predicted sports
← UFC 268
King Green
35-17-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Al Iaquinta
14-7-1 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
King Green def.
KO/TKO · R1 2:25
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
70"
39
Age
39
6.46
SLpM
4.06
53%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.55
SApM
4.53
62%
Str. Def.
61%
1.33
TD Avg.
0.63
72%
TD Def.
74%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Al Iaquinta
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge King Green
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge King Green
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
King Green finishes 29% · finished 29% (17 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 88% (7-1)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.