predicted sports
← UFC 268
Rose Namajunas
15-8 · Orthodox
vs
Zhang Weili
26-4 · Switch
Women's Strawweight · Title
Result
Rose Namajunas def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
65"
Reach
63"
34
Age
36
3.50
SLpM
4.66
41%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.38
SApM
2.63
63%
Str. Def.
53%
1.47
TD Avg.
1.96
62%
TD Def.
63%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Rose Namajunas
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Rose Namajunas
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Zhang Weili
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Rose Namajunas finishes 10% · finished 0% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (3-0)
In 5-round fights 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 75% (3-1)
In title fights 67% (2-1)
Zhang Weili finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.