predicted sports
← UFC 268
Kamaru Usman
21-4 · Switch
vs
Colby Covington
17-5 · Orthodox
Welterweight · Title
Result
Kamaru Usman def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
72"
39
Age
38
4.16
SLpM
3.81
51%
Str. Acc.
38%
2.67
SApM
3.09
55%
Str. Def.
54%
2.79
TD Avg.
3.64
89%
TD Def.
68%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Colby Covington
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kamaru Usman
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Kamaru Usman
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Kamaru Usman finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
In 5-round fights 71% (5-2)
Colby Covington finishes 20% · finished 20% (5 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 40% (2-3)
In 5-round fights 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.