predicted sports
← UFC 267
Islam Makhachev
28-1 · Southpaw
vs
Dan Hooker
24-14 · Switch
Lightweight
Result
Islam Makhachev def.
SUB · R1 2:25
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
75"
34
Age
36
2.45
SLpM
4.82
58%
Str. Acc.
48%
1.45
SApM
4.94
61%
Str. Def.
49%
3.10
TD Avg.
0.68
91%
TD Def.
77%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Islam Makhachev
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Dan Hooker
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Islam Makhachev
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Islam Makhachev finishes 80% · finished 0% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (8-0)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (7-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Dan Hooker finishes 10% · finished 50% (10 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (4-4)
Vs southpaws 50% (4-4)
As the rating underdog 40% (4-6)
With a reach advantage 33% (3-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.